GBPJPY analysis - next week Dec 1st outlook

0 comments Sunday, November 30, 2008


chart h4 - at market close
the beast entraps within 300 pips consolidation phase
the bulls and the bears agree - at least temporarily - on the beast's price level
a imminent breakout could happen in either direction
to guard against a false breakout, place a stop:
  • below the upper BLUE trendline for a upwards breakout
  • above the lower BLUE trendline if the price breaks downwards
good luck and happy trading B-)

UPDATE:



chart h1 - 5 pm Malaysia
went short earlier at 146.00 when the yellow trendline was broken
price is now testing the lower BLUE trendline
already closed 1/2 lot (+200 pips) and moved SL to +50 for the remaining 1/2 lot...
will ride the profit

6.40 pm: +500 pips, SL moved to +100
10:30 pm: added another short at 140.56 - now +57 and +600
1.30 am:
partial closed 2nd order at +200
now remaining open orders +200 and +750 (1/2 lot each)

expecting price to hit 134.xx soon
[-o<

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GBPJPY analysis - Thanksgiving holiday....

0 comments Thursday, November 27, 2008
no trading today....
US is celebrating Thanksgiving...
expecting thin trading volume but could also be very volatile..
remember what happened last year Thanksgiving.. :-ss


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GBPJPY analysis - dragonfly at daily chart???

0 comments Wednesday, November 26, 2008


daily chart - 6 am Malaysia
price bounced off minor trendline???
dragonfly candle??
explanation from http://candlesticker.com
The market is in a bullish mood characterized by an uptrend. Then we see a price action characterized by a sharp sell off when it opens. Prices move down going much lower than the opening price. Then we see a rally in the closing hours of the day, which closes the day at or very near the opening price. However this end-of- day rally signifies the potential for further sell offs. The long lower shadow shows how the market started the day with a sell off. If the market opens lower the next day, we may see a lot of longs eager to sell their positions.

UPDATE:
this is a swing trade... let see how far the beast will drop... :D
8.30 am: +180 pips, SL moved to +10
9.30 am: +140 pips
12.05 pm: +192 pips
5.30 pm: +110 pips, SL moved to +50
7.30 pm: +204 pips
9.00 pm: +238 pips
woke up next morning - SL hit... at least, i'm richer by 50 pips :-"


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GBPJPY analysis - consolidation phase???

0 comments Tuesday, November 25, 2008


chart h1 - 7 am Malaysia
major trendline broken?? :-?
needs to break 148.00 for trend reversal confirmation...
otherwise, market will consolidate within 144.xx - 147.xx range
my sell position is already +50 TP:144.20
SL moved to +1

UPDATE:
9.30 am - SL moved to +100
10.30 am - stopped out at 100 pips [-o<
11.00 am - short again at 146.43 - already +30
12.45 pm - decided to bank-in 85 pips
;)
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GBPJPY analysis - will 143.50 acts as resistance??

0 comments Monday, November 24, 2008


chart 30 min - 7.30 am Malaysia
went short at 143.38
minor trendline rejection???
S/R zone at 143.50 area...???
a risky trade but one which allows a tight SL (50 pips at 143.88)
let's see how market plays it out :-SS

UPDATE: by 8.00 am, price went down to 142.70 (+60 pips)
moved SL to +1
8.15 am - moved SL to +50 and set trailing stop of 70 pips
10.35 am - stopped out at 110 pips
[-o<
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