Impact of U.S Interest Rate Hike
9 years ago
traveling....Wednesday, July 29, 2009Some personal commitments tied me up from updating this blog during the past couple weeks. I had also switched to long term trading as I am not able to stay in front of computer as before. Furthermore, this evening I have to travel for more than a month and might not be able to look to the screen for days..... However, a bearish candle should formed on the monthly chart which might indicate that the bullish rally from the start of the year is merely a correction; and the beast should resume the southwards journey. Hopefully I will be back in October 2009. Till then, take care and trade wisely....   bearish flag???Friday, July 10, 2009A lower high on the H4 chart has developed a bearish flag pattern ; a possible indication that the train might continue south-bound journey. The beast needs to penetrate the previous low, in order to reach 143.xx. Meanwhile, my strategy of selling on rallies worked out well so far and all profits have been protected. Below is the H4 chart as of 9 pm Malaysia. 
daily TL broken???Wednesday, July 8, 2009The price has broken below the lower daily trendline and now consolidating at the previous support cluster area. The beast might retrace upwards as the sellers took their partial profits. However, the general sentiment has turned bearish for the pair. My medium term strategy is to start selling on rallies with the profit taking target at next support (143.xx). Below is the daily chart as of 5 pm Malaysia.  bearish harami???Tuesday, July 7, 2009A bearish harami has appeared on the H4 chart; indicating the possibility that the retracement might have been completed. Went short again at the close of the H4 candle. Stop loss placed at 155.60 (29 pips above swing high) and profit taking will be at 151.00 (slightly above 161.8% fib level of yesterday's low). Below is the H4 chart as of 9 am Malaysia.  testing the daily trendlineMonday, July 6, 2009
The beast has broken the H4 trendline significantly and now testing the the daily trendline. Price might rebounce slightly from the trendline, however, the overall sentiment looks bearish.
A valid peneration below the daily trendline could signals that the beginning of downward trend. Let see how market plays it out.... Below is the H4 chart as of 5 pm Malaysia 
H4 trendline broken???Friday, July 3, 2009The price has penetrated the H4 lower trendline; indicating that the beast has reached a temporary top, at least for the time being. Downward trend reversal should only be confirmed when the daily lower trendline (around 153.5) is pierced significantly. Below is the H4 chart as of 9 am Malaysia. 
still ranging......Virus attack on my notebook kept me away from chart these few days. Had to trade from a nearby cyber cafe. Meanwhile, the price keep ranging; even though there are signs of bull exhaustion as the price keep making lower highs, there is still no confirmation that the bears has gained control of the market. Short trading week (as the NY market will be closed tomorrow) might be the reason the market is moving cautiously. However, next week should see a clearer market direction when the price breaks out from either trendlines shown below. H4 chart as of 1 am Malaysia. 
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