Impact of U.S Interest Rate Hike
9 years ago
"There is only one side of the market and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side." - Jesse Livermore
0 comments Saturday, February 28, 2009chart h4 at the market closing... Compare the above chart with the chart below. I am still holding my sell positions over the weekend as I believe the beast is now making a "throwback" move toward the neckline; which is at the proximity of 135.20. Investopedia.com defines a throwback move as following: This situation occurs when the price breaks through the neckline, setting a new high or low (depending on the pattern), followed by a retreat back to the neckline. This move back to the neckline is considered to be a test of the pattern and the newly reversed support or resistance. Read more about the throwback move here. 0 comments Friday, February 27, 2009chart h4 - 6 am Malaysia Price failed to break previous high. Went short at 140.98 due to bearish hanging man candle. Stop loss is at 141.98 (100 pips risk). UPDATE: 0 comments Thursday, February 26, 2009chart h1 - 6 am Malaysia A bearish dark cloud cover candle has formed on the the daily chart. Today I will be watching closely on the fib 50% level. Should the price rebounds from it, I will place a sell order targeting 137.66 and 136.10; which are the yesterday's low and fib 132.8% level respectively. Good luck and happy trading... :D UPDATE: 0 comments Wednesday, February 25, 2009h4 chart as of 8 am Malaysia Yesterday price action seems to indicate that the bulls might need some rest right now. :-? A quick look at weekly fib levels shows that the price is struggling to break 161.8% level. Should the beast decides to move down, there is a possibility that it might want to re-test the broken neckline again... UPDATE: 0 commentschart h1 - 12.00 am Malaysia The outlooks remains bullish at the moment as the price keeps lingering above yesterday high. Decided to go long at 139.62 with target projection of 142.40. If I am wrong, my stop loss at 135.53 (a risk of 109 pips) will save me. :-ss UPDATE: 2 comments Tuesday, February 24, 2009chart 15 min - 11.11 am Malaysia Went long at 137.98; stop loss at 137.44 (54 pips risk) Reasons:
UPDATE: 0 commentschart 30 min - 9.07 am Malaysia Went long at 136.76; stop loss at 136.14 (62 pips risk). Reasons:
UPDATE: 2 comments Monday, February 23, 2009chart h1 - 3 pm Malaysia An inside bar set up on the hourly chart. Went long at 135.30 with stop-loss placed at 134.57 (73 pips risk). Should the price breaks the upper trendline, I anticipate that the beast might begin a upward move to next resistance which coincides with 140.xx zone. Will move the stop-loss to +1 once the profit hit +50. UPDATE: 3 comments Saturday, February 21, 2009daily chart at the market closing Is it a symmetrical or an ascending triangle? :-? Whatever it is, the market is telling us that neither the bulls nor bears are in control. Useful tips from Informed Trades regarding the ascending triangle pattern:
0 comments Friday, February 20, 2009chart h4 - 6 pm Malaysia Good UK retail sales result pushed the beast upwards. A bullish dragonfly doji has formed on the h4 chart. Went long at the close of h4 candle (134.17). Risking 151 pip as the stop loss is placed at 132.66 (10 pips below swing low). Most likely the price will test the neckline again.. :-? UPDATE: 0 commentschart h1 - 6.47 am Malaysia An inside bar set up on the hourly chart. Price has pierced the trigger bar's low. I went short earlier at 134.68 due to the broken lower trendline. Stop loss is placed at 135.30 (a risk of 62 pips). No target projection yet. Will trail the stop loss manually. UPDATE: 0 comments Thursday, February 19, 2009chart h4 - 10 pm Malaysia Neckline broken?? Has the trend reversed?? Let us see... :d see my earlier post here on the possible head and shoulder pattern on the daily chart. UPDATE: 0 comments Wednesday, February 18, 2009chart h1 -5 pm Malaysia A double tops formation in play?? Went short at the close of the hourly candle. Stop loss is at 132.22 (10 pips above the neckline - 26 pips risks). Let's pray this time the bulls are really exhausted... [-o< courtesy of babypips UPDATE: 0 commentschart h1 - 6 am Malaysia An engulfing bearish candle had appeared on the hourly chart. Price failed to make a clean break of the yellow immediate trendline. In addition, the price was rejected by the weekly fib 50% level. Decided to go short at 131.62 with stop-loss placed at 132.41 (79 pips risk). Target: Not decided yet. Let's see how the market will play it out... :-ss UPDATE: 0 comments Tuesday, February 17, 2009chart 30 min - 5.13 pm Malaysia The beast keep ranging as GU and UJ move in opposite direction today. Realized a inside bar set up on the 30 min chart. Decided to sell at 129.93 with a risk of 71 pip risk (SL at 130.64) Now +17; will move SL to +1 once in gain of +30. UPDATE: 0 comments Monday, February 16, 2009chart 30 min - 10.30 am Malaysia Dull Tokyo session (:| I-); price keeps moving directionlessly within market open range US banks are also closed tonight... :( Will European session bring some life to the market? :-? UPDATE: 0 comments Saturday, February 14, 20090 comments Friday, February 13, 2009daily chart - 6 am Malaysia A bullish hammer has formed on the daily chart. Meanwhile, three white soldiers are already marching on the h4 chart. On larger overview, there is a possibility that an inverse head and shoulder pattern is in play. The key level to be watched closely is 131.00 area. Should the price breaks 131.00 resistance zone, then the bears are in danger. And the trend reversal to UPTREND should begin with the penetration of the neckline at 136.00-137.00 zone. :-ss UPDATE: 0 comments Thursday, February 12, 2009chart h1 - 4.03 pm Malaysia Went short as soon as the price pierces the lower trendline. Stop loss placed at 130.00 (risking 88 pips). Target projected: still undecided. Will the beast continue going downwards? :-? UPDATE: 2 commentschart 30 min - 7.15 am Malaysia Isn't that insider bar beautiful?? Missed the set up as I just opened up the chart... Will wait next set up.... :d Download MT4 inside bar indicator here. 0 comments Wednesday, February 11, 20090 commentschart h1 - 6 am Malaysia An evening star formation has appeared on the daily chart; usually a high reliability indication that the bears are taking over the market. On the hourly chart, the price has already pierced the lower trendline. However, the price would normally tends to pull back and test the broken trendline. As long as the trendline holds, there might be a possibility that the price will continue downwards move. Today fibs 138.2% and 161.8% levels are at 128.03 and 126.61 respectively. UPDATE: 0 comments Tuesday, February 10, 2009chart h1 - 9.48 pm Malaysia Another inside bar set up. Price is below the immediate trendline. Went short at 134.66. TP 132.00 (the nearest round number to fibo 138.2 level). In case I am wrong, my SL at 135.58 (92 pips risk) will save me. :-ss UPDATE: 0 commentschart 30 min - 3.45 am Malaysia A self explanatory example of an insider bar set up. Please calculate the value of the stop-loss and DO NOT risk more than 5% of your equity. The lesser. the better... get the indicator here. Otherwise, blame your own self if you're hit by MC... ~x( A top pro trader once said.... "UNDERTRADE, UNDERTRADE, UNDERTRADE is my second piece of advice. Whatever you think your position ought to be, cut it at least in half" - Bruce Kovner 0 comments Monday, February 9, 2009h1 chart - 1.37 pm Just opened up the charts and noticed a inside bar has formed 3 hours ago. Price is below the the immediate trendline. Went short 10 pips below the inside bar at 134.65. Stop-loss placed at 135.30 (65 pips risk). TP will be at Friday low. UPDATE: 0 comments Saturday, February 7, 2009
Last Wednesday, I had noticed the inside bar on the daily chart as per my post here.
In my eagerness to keep on looking for sell entries, I failed to see the "forest for the trees". Lesson learned. :"> Below is a video on how to trade the inside bar. Download MT4 inside bar indicator here. Click here for another example of an inside bar set up. 0 commentsh4 chart at market close After a quick eyeballing on the daily chart, it is too early to conclude that the bulls has taken control of the market. Last week price action was quite erratic due to several important news announcements. Now the price is now rests at 136.00 resistance zone. A break upwards should push the beast up to 141.00 region, meanwhile a bounce downwards should bring down the price to 131.00 area. Next week trading should be an EXCITING one. Now, go and enjoy your weekend. >:) 0 comments Friday, February 6, 2009daily chart Bulls pushed the beast up 700 pips yesterday. A look on the daily chart reveals that the Monday bearish candle had failed to fall below the dotted trendline. Therefore, the current market sentiment is bullish. However, has the MAJOR trend reversed??? :-? Tonight NFP result holds the answer.... :-s Good luck and happy trading... :D UPDATE: 0 comments Thursday, February 5, 2009chart h1 - 1 pm Malaysia A long-legged doji has formed on the daily chart. Once again, the market is still in uncertainty mode. Or could I say... the bulls are uncertain to push the price up. :)) However, any downward move should be confirmed by a clean penetration of the lower trendline. Dull Tokyo session implies that the market is waiting for the following results to be released tonight.
Happy pipping, guys... :D UPDATE: 1 comments Wednesday, February 4, 2009daily chart - 11.30 am An inside bar on daily chart indicates that the market is currently in uncertainty. Neither bulls nor bears are in control. That also means that today is a NO TRADE day. =)) Will come back tomorrow... Till then, cheers ... :-h UPDATE: 0 comments Tuesday, February 3, 2009h1 chart 11.45 pm Malaysia A engulfing bearish candle has formed on the daily chart. Meanwhile, the hourly chart shows the retracement is not over yet. Downwards trend should continue once the 126.00 level is broken.... UPDATE: 2 comments Monday, February 2, 2009chart h1 - 8.00 am Malaysia Looks like the bears are gaining control on the beast. Should the price breaks the lower trendline, 1st target projection is Friday low (126.69). UPDATE:
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